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Hank: al-Zawahiri may struggle to keep al-Qaeda's loyalty after bin Laden's death (2011)

prediction · status: unresolved · last event: predicted (2011-05-02) · owner: Hank

About: Ayman al-Zawahiri, al-Qaeda

date event what video
2011-05-02 predicted Hank forecasts that al-Zawahiri may find it hard to keep the loyalty bin Laden held together in al-Qaeda, which could be a pretty good thing. (hedged) Osama Bin Laden is Dead 00:02:19

What is said about it

3 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).

  • 2011-05-02 · Osama Bin Laden is Dead — Hank: Five people were killed in the attack, Hank says: four al-Qaeda members and a woman used as a human shield by one of them, which he calls horrible. — 00:01:54
  • 2011-05-02 · Osama Bin Laden is Dead — Hank says Ayman al-Zawahiri remains al-Qaeda's number-one man, long its chief of operations, but per his reading and leaked CIA documents lacks bin Laden's charismatic following. (hedged) — 00:02:05
  • 2011-05-02 · Osama Bin Laden is Dead — Hank thinks al-Zawahiri might find it hard to keep the loyalty bin Laden held together in al-Qaeda, which could be a pretty good thing. (hedged) — 00:02:19