Hank: countries will hover around a 95% measles vaccination rate, dipping into outbreaks and recovering, until measles is eradicated (2025)
prediction · status: partly came true · last event: partly came true (2026-08-25) · owner: Hank
In February 2025 Hank predicted that countries would hover around a 95% measles vaccination rate, dipping into outbreaks and recovering, until measles is eradicated.
About: vaccine
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 | predicted | Hank predicts countries will hover around 95% measles vaccination, dipping below into outbreaks and climbing back to 96, until measles is eradicated. | We Will Eradicate Measles 00:06:08 |
| 2026-08-25 | partly came true | US childhood vaccination rates fell only modestly in the last couple of years, from about 95% to 92%, but even that lets highly infectious diseases prosper. | The Great Thing about Infectious Disease 00:03:53 |
What is said about it
8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank says he is trying to stay calm but feels we are whiny babies who have forgotten how miraculous a world with exoplanets, electric cars and measles vaccines is. — 00:06:56
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank says he does not think his anger does very much. — 00:06:56
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank says his elected representatives are all Republicans, none of whom are pushing back against this. — 00:06:56
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — ask: Hank shares on screen the talking points he uses when calling his representatives so viewers can call theirs in Congress; a script, a list and ways to find them are in the description. — 00:06:56
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank: In his script Hank tells his representative he believes they believe in the founding document: Congress creates laws and decides spending, and executive orders are not laws. — 00:07:27
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank's script says representatives have principles and responsibilities beyond loyalty to the president, and sitting back harms the country's future and their party's. — 00:07:27
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank's script says USAID helps America by increasing its influence, making other countries more stable and making it less likely disease outbreaks reach the US. — 00:07:56
- 2025-02-28 · We Will Eradicate Measles — Hank's script predicts his representatives will eventually stand up to Donald Trump taking away their power, asking whether they will be among the first, as he hopes. — 00:07:56