Hank: it will probably be five or ten years before we know what questions to ask about AI (2022)
prediction · status: due 2032; outcome not yet known · last event: repeated (2025-10-17) · owner: Hank
In December 2022 Hank said groups around AI were forming in real time and that it would probably be five or ten years before we know what questions to ask and what the dominant views are.
About: artificial intelligence
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-09 | predicted | Hank says groups around AI are forming in real time now, and it will probably be five or ten years before we know what questions we are asking and what the dominant perspectives are. (hedged) | Things are Changing Very Fast 00:00:29 |
| 2025-10-17 | repeated | Hank thinks AI's most impactful effects will be things nobody has any idea of now: beyond five years everything is up in the air, and beyond ten the dominant forces will be unthought of. | We Never Know What Anything Means 00:03:10 |
What is said about it
4 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2025-10-17 · We Never Know What Anything Means — Hank says stories of AI extending life infinitely or causing human extinction do not matter; only thoughts about the next five years are somewhat credible. — 00:02:34
- 2025-10-17 · We Never Know What Anything Means — Hank says that, like the telegraph, AI will be a very big deal with impacts much weirder than we think. — 00:03:33
- 2025-10-17 · We Never Know What Anything Means — Hank: Admitting his bias, Hank says we need to worry whether AI will continue us down the path of losing trust in each other and faith in humanity. — 00:03:40
- 2025-10-17 · We Never Know What Anything Means — Hank says the recommendation algorithms of YouTube, TikTok, Threads and Twitter already erode trust without wanting to: told to keep people on websites, they made us hate each other more, fraying society. — 00:03:50