Hank: the internet can eventually become a net good, as earlier communication media did (2021)
prediction · status: unresolved · last event: repeated (2024-11-22) · owner: Hank
In June 2021 Hank said he believes the internet can become a net good, as earlier communication media did, without knowing how. He restated it through 2021 and 2024, saying it would get worse before it gets better and that better information tends to win out eventually.
About: social media
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-04 | predicted | A majority of Hank believes that is possible for the internet, but no piece of him understands how we'll get there, which is uncomfortable. | Is Twitter Redeemable? 00:03:45 |
| 2021-07-16 | repeated | Hank loves the internet and still believes in its promise, though it is more delayed than he assumed, and thinks we should keep thinking about and fighting for it. | Should You Abandon Social Media? 00:03:13 |
| 2021-10-07 | repeated | Hank doesn't know how we will move forward from here, but knows we will. | We're Thinking About Facebook Wrong 00:21:15 |
| 2022-10-06 | repeated | Hank compares the printing press and newspapers, for which we created norms and laws; by learning from the past we can hopefully do it faster, as change is faster now. (hedged) | The Pizzamas Magic Is Almost Over… 00:02:48 |
| 2024-01-05 | repeated | In the description Hank says he has long said the internet-and-society situation will get worse before it gets better, and still thinks so. | I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts video description |
| 2024-11-22 | repeated | Hank says that as we learn to resist the new media's spells, as we always eventually do, those with better information tend to win out eventually; the question is how long. | Populism, Media Revolutions, and Our Terrible Moment 00:32:19 |
What is said about it
8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2021-10-07 · We're Thinking About Facebook Wrong — announcement: Hank: Pizzamas products are available only during Pizzamas, for about another week, then never again; all profits support the community's work on health care in Sierra Leone. — 00:21:20
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank worries AI will make it even harder for young people to find a place in the American economy, already hard because policies and systems steer wealth to older people. — 00:00:29
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank worries about rising nationalism and nativism, which he says increased global conflicts, with deaths in wars rising for the last three years. — 00:00:29
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank is fairly certain the number of people dying in wars will increase again in 2024. (hedged) — 00:01:03
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank is certain Donald Trump will be on the ballot in November, which puts him way too close to being president again, something absolutely possible. — 00:01:03
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank worries about a general attack on higher education, enabled by the industry's inability to control its costs, while public talk turns to culture-war nonsense instead. — 00:01:03
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank blames the culture-war talk and nationalism on the disintegration of the media landscape, caused by platforms like TikTok, Facebook and YouTube maximizing time on platform, where moral outrage sticks best. — 00:01:32
- 2024-01-05 · I'm Scared of 2024...So Here's 3 Optimistic Thoughts — Hank worries that those harmed most by any disruption are those with the least, and hears far too little about cycles perpetuating inequality globally and at home. — 00:01:32