John: 2017 may be the second-to-last year any human gets polio (2017)
prediction · status: unresolved · last event: predicted (2017-12-12) · owner: John
In December 2017, John said 2017 might be the second-to-last year any human gets polio, which would make polio's end a major global health victory.
About: polio, global health
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-12-12 | predicted | John says it's possible that 2017 will be the second-to-last year (2016) any human ever gets polio; its end will be a huge global health victory won by millions of donors and volunteers. (hedged) | 2017 is the Best? 00:00:26 |
What is said about it
6 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John says there have been only 16 new cases of wild polio virus so far this year (2017), down from 37 last year (2016), while in his high-school years there were over 100,000 cases a year. — 00:00:37
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John: By some measures 2017 is the best year in history (not Twitter's): absolute poverty is at its lowest share, schooling and adult literacy at their highest, and cancer death rates are down globally. — 00:00:48
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John says the world is also getting worse in ways: in the US, opiate abuse is driving a huge increase in deaths by drug overdose. — 00:01:09
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John says South Sudan is experiencing the world's first official famine since 2012, and several other countries are on the brink of famine. — 00:01:15
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John says horrific ethnic cleansing in Myanmar has killed many people and forced hundreds of thousands more from their homes. — 00:01:21
- 2017-12-12 · 2017 is the Best? — John says many tragedies demand better responses, but on average the human population is healthier, more prosperous and better educated than it ever has been. — 00:01:27