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John: Ebola treatments or vaccines may exist within a year (2014)

prediction · status: its date passed (2015); no outcome reported · last event: predicted (2014-08-12) · owner: John

In August 2014 John said there was mounting evidence that treatments or vaccines for Ebola might exist within a year.

About: Ebola virus disease

date event what video
2014-08-12 predicted John forecasts, citing mounting evidence, that Ebola treatments or vaccines might exist within a year. (hedged) EBOLA! (...meningitis) 00:02:19

What is said about it

4 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).

  • 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: Ebola is a very serious crisis in West Africa, but John says more people will die of malaria today than have died of Ebola in the last ten years combined. — 00:00:53
  • 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John argues that even if he had had Ebola it would have mattered to him and his family but would not have been a big deal from a public-health perspective. — 00:01:15
  • 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: He could not have infected the LeakyCon attendees anyway: people are not contagious with Ebola unless symptomatic, and he shared no bodily fluids with them. — 00:01:42
  • 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: Ebola spreads because it is often treated in facilities without running water or latex gloves, making sterilisation impossible; water and bleach alone would prevent many cases. — 00:02:04