John: if the US foreign aid pause is not amended to exclude diagnostics and medication, many people will die (2025)
prediction · status: unresolved · last event: repeated (2025-02-11) · owner: John
In January 2025 John warned that many people would die if the US pause on foreign aid were not amended to exclude diagnostics and medication; in February he restated it, saying a resurgence of tuberculosis would mean millions of premature deaths.
About: Development aid
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-28 | predicted | John says that if the so-called pause on aid is not amended to exclude diagnostics and medication, many people will die. | This Is Not Normal 00:04:52 |
| 2025-02-11 | repeated | John says a resurgence of TB, especially drug-resistant TB, would mean not thousands but millions or tens of millions more premature deaths. | What's at Stake 00:02:55 |
What is said about it
10 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2025-04-15 · Chatting with ... a U.S. Senator? — John says the problem is also the chaotic way funding stopped: a sudden total freeze with no warning let no country fill gaps, so TB and HIV treatment was massively discontinued. — 00:16:21
- 2025-06-10 · 90,000,000 Lives for $20 — John says chaotic, massive US spending cuts are the main reason hundreds of thousands have had TB treatment interrupted and millions living with HIV have been imperiled. — 00:04:52
- 2025-01-28 · This Is Not Normal — John says the progress is the result of sustained, ongoing, open-ended funding and collaboration. — 00:05:21
- 2025-01-28 · This Is Not Normal — John hopes that in 30 years his most encouraging fact will be that child mortality kept falling throughout his whole lifetime. — 00:05:21
- 2025-01-28 · This Is Not Normal — John concludes that continued progress for human health is not natural: it will result, or fail to result, from human choices. — 00:05:21
- 2025-02-11 · What's at Stake — John says that although the US government can claim medicines are still flowing, he hears again and again from people on the ground, from Tanzania to Sierra Leone, who cannot get their TB medication. — 00:03:24
- 2025-02-11 · What's at Stake — John says friends ask him how to get their meds, and he doesn't know what to tell them because the supply chains are frozen. — 00:03:24
- 2025-02-11 · What's at Stake — John says individuals and philanthropy cannot step in at this scale: responding to a crisis this size needs at-scale logistics that only governments can provide. — 00:03:53
- 2025-02-11 · What's at Stake — John feels utterly powerless watching decades of progress against TB and other diseases of injustice put at risk, not for lack of tools but for lack of political will. — 00:03:53
- 2025-02-11 · What's at Stake — John says TB fighters in the community have been organizing call-a-thons and other responses. — 00:03:53