John: the 2016 nominee may not be the candidate with the most primary and caucus support (2016)
prediction · status: its date passed (2016); no outcome reported · last event: predicted (2016-03-22) · owner: John
In a March 2016 video on the primaries, John said that in 2016 the nominee might not be the candidate with the most primary and caucus support.
About: primary election, 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-22 | predicted | John says that this year (2016), unlike the last 10 cycles, the candidate with the most primary and caucus support may not become the nominee. (hedged) | Understanding the Primaries: Delegates, Democracy, and America's Nonstop Political Party 00:05:07 |
What is said about it
2 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2016-03-22 · Understanding the Primaries: Delegates, Democracy, and America's Nonstop Political Party — John says nominating has become much more democratic: as recently as 1968 only 34 percent of Republican and 38 percent of Democratic delegates were chosen by primaries. — 00:04:47
- 2016-03-22 · Understanding the Primaries: Delegates, Democracy, and America's Nonstop Political Party — John says that in both parties for the last 10 election cycles the candidate with the most overall primary and caucus support has become the nominee. — 00:04:59