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John: the P4A 2026 total will catch up with P4A 2025's if donations keep their pace (2026)

prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2026-02-15) · owner: John

Part of: P4A 2026 edition

About: Project for Awesome

date event what video
2026-02-14 predicted John says the 2026 Project for Awesome is just ahead of 2024 and just behind 2025 but has more matching funds, and he is confident it can catch up with 2025 if donations keep their pace. Project for Awesome 2026 part 4! 00:09:27
2026-02-15 repeated At $1.372 million on Tiltify, $107,000 short of the biggest P4A in history, John says they will definitely get there; the open question is whether during the livestream or after. Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! 03:22:05
2026-02-15 came true John's forecast comes true: on 15 February 2026 the 2026 Project for Awesome passes P4A 2025 to become the biggest ever. Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! 03:57:19

What is said about it

9 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).

  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — John says the grand total chart looks like a straight line up and the 2026 Project for Awesome appears on pace to beat 2025, at least for now. (hedged) — 03:03:46
  • 2026-02-14 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 4! — John says a $100 donation to the 2026 Project for Awesome buys the right to name one of the collage faces made by Alice and Sarah. — 00:10:33
  • 2026-02-14 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 4! — John says the money raised at the Project for Awesome over the years is now close to $30 million. — 00:12:02
  • 2026-02-14 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 4! — John: Every year John takes ten books from his own library, signs them and donates them as Project for Awesome perks. — 00:13:36
  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — John thanks the Partners In Health matching donor, who gave $100,000, the Save the Children matching donors, who gave $500,000, and about 700 Nerdfighters who formed a $1.5 million matching fund matching donations up to $1.492 million. (hedged) — 03:22:50
  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — John: Hank arrives 45 minutes early, which John calls a Project for Awesome miracle, and John goes to get coffee while Hank hosts. (playful) — 03:23:16
  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — John: After a weak confetti cannon, John says he makes his kids clean up the confetti; Hank, who has only one kid, says he should make his do it too. (playful) — 03:58:02
  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — Hank lives in a neighborhood where people put things out on the corner, which he loves; he has no HOA, one of its most appealing features. — 04:00:21
  • 2026-02-15 · Project for Awesome 2026 part 5! — John's neighborhood had an HOA, and when it was due for renewal around 2014 the neighbors collectively decided to let it expire. — 04:00:49