John: Ebola will not spread widely in the US or Europe (2014)
prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2019-10-01) · owner: John
In August 2014 John predicted that Ebola would not spread widely in the US or Europe, and in October 2014 he restated it, saying infection controls were good enough.
About: Ebola virus disease, United States, Europe
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-08-12 | predicted | John forecasts that Ebola will not spread widely in the US or Europe. | EBOLA! (...meningitis) 00:02:49 |
| 2014-10-21 | repeated | John restates that Ebola won't spread widely in the US: infection controls are good enough. | Ebola: What IS Terrifying 00:00:56 |
| 2019-10-01 | came true | With little running water to sterilize and too few gloves or masks, John says this systemic weakness is why Ebola could ravage Sierra Leone but not the United States or Spain. | Why Are Poor Countries Poor? 00:04:22 |
What is said about it
8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: Ebola is a very serious crisis in West Africa, but John says more people will die of malaria today than have died of Ebola in the last ten years combined. — 00:00:53
- 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John argues that even if he had had Ebola it would have mattered to him and his family but would not have been a big deal from a public-health perspective. — 00:01:15
- 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: He could not have infected the LeakyCon attendees anyway: people are not contagious with Ebola unless symptomatic, and he shared no bodily fluids with them. — 00:01:42
- 2014-08-12 · EBOLA! (...meningitis) — John: Ebola spreads because it is often treated in facilities without running water or latex gloves, making sterilisation impossible; water and bleach alone would prevent many cases. — 00:02:04
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John reports that currently three people have contracted Ebola in the US. — 00:00:30
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John: Nigeria, which had 20 Ebola infections, was just declared Ebola-free by the World Health Organization; John congratulates Nigeria. — 00:00:30
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John says the current US outbreak is not terrifying: infection controls are good enough that the disease won't spread widely. — 00:00:54
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John: The Ebola survival rate so far in the US is over 80% thanks to excellent supportive care, versus closer to 30% in West Africa. — 00:01:00