John: on October 13, 2020 it will be unseasonably warm in Indianapolis (2020)
prediction · status: proved wrong · last event: proved wrong (2020-10-14) · owner: John
In a video recorded in advance for its 13 October 2020 upload, John predicted it would be unseasonably warm in Indianapolis that day. The next day Hank called it a miss: it was only about three degrees warmer than usual.
About: Indianapolis
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) | predicted | Using modeling and data, John predicts that on upload day it is unseasonably warm in Indianapolis. | Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle 00:00:58 |
| 2020-10-14 | proved wrong | Hank says Indianapolis was not really unseasonably warm, only about three degrees warmer than usual, so he calls John's prediction a miss. → refers to Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle | John Predicts the Future! 00:00:00 |
Dates are upload dates, which set the order. Where the speaker gives a different recording date in the video, it is added as "said on YYYY-MM-DD, implied" (derived from the date said in the video).
What is said about it
8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, John predicts about 40 people will buy the Pizza John shirt on upload day, and tells viewers not to be afraid to beat that expectation. (playful, hedged) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, with some data but not enough, John guesses AFC Wimbledon might eke out a draw against Swindon Town based on current form. (speculative) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, from scheduled events, John suspects the upcoming presidential debate is being much discussed in the viewers' present. (hedged) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John notes the main news on the morning he films: the US President has been hospitalized for COVID, and many people close to him caught it after indoor maskless gatherings. — 00:01:56
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John suspects that news, very big to him, will not feel big to viewers eight days later because news cycles are moving much faster. (hedged) — 00:01:56
- 2020-10-14 · John Predicts the Future! — Hank adds that it is unseasonably warm most days in most places: 2020 is one of the warmest years of the last hundred, or one of the coolest of the next hundred. (playful) — 00:00:29
- 2020-10-14 · John Predicts the Future! — Hank reports US new COVID cases rose week to week from 41,601 to 45,791, almost exactly 10%, so John's prediction was a win. — 00:00:29
- 2020-10-14 · John Predicts the Future! — Hank says it is more a win for epidemiological modelers, and more a loss for everyone. (playful) — 00:00:29