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John: the one-like-per-ten-views ratio will probably not hold for this video (2020)

prediction · status: came true · last event: predicted (2020-02-25) · owner: John · last mentioned: 2026-09-15

In February 2020 John asked viewers to like a video to test whether the channel's one-like-per-ten-views ratio was real, guessing it probably was not. Within a day the video had about one like per 2.2 views, and he declared the ratio dead.

Told alongside: John asks viewers to like his video to test the one-like-per-ten-views ratio (2020) · John: the Vlogbrothers like-to-view ratio will revert to the mean (2020) · John: not ask viewers to like a video again for years (2020)

About: YouTube

date event what video
2020-02-25 came true In comment updates John reports the 1:10 ratio is dead: at 17 hours the video had 107,000 views and 47,000 likes, about 1:2.2, with views about 35% above normal. A weird YouTube thing?
2020-02-25 predicted Feeling as nervous as if asking someone to prom, John asks viewers to click like to break the cycle or find the ratio is real; probably not, but he asks them to like it so he can disprove the theory. (hedged) A weird YouTube thing? 00:03:20
2026-09-15 recalled John says the ratio holds only if you don't ask people to like your video, which the brothers don't, because there are more interesting calls to action. YouTube Says This Video Has 683,183 Views, It Actually Has 312,584 00:00:29

What is said about it

8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).