Skip to content

John: the Vlogbrothers like-to-view ratio will revert to the mean (2020)

prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2026-09-15) · owner: John

In March 2020 John said in the comments that the channel's like-to-view ratio, still a little off because viewers were aware of it, was reverting to the mean. No later video checks it.

Told alongside: John asks viewers to like his video to test the one-like-per-ten-views ratio (2020) · John: the one-like-per-ten-views ratio will probably not hold for this video (2020)

About: YouTube

date event what video
2020-03-03 predicted Asked in comments how the like/view ratio is holding up, John says it holds incredibly well on the Art Assignment video; here it is still a little off because people are conscious of it, but reverting to the mean. Consciously Experiencing Human Dignity
2026-09-15 came true John says that on their channel, consistently over 20 years, one person liked a video for every 10 who watched it: the ratio he once made a video about. YouTube Says This Video Has 683,183 Views, It Actually Has 312,584 00:00:29

What is said about it

9 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).