John: the West African Ebola outbreak will eventually be contained, at a very high cost (2014)
prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2018-01-23) · owner: John
In October 2014 John forecast that the response to the West African Ebola outbreak would eventually work and the outbreak would be contained, but at a very high cost.
About: Western African Ebola virus epidemic
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-21 | predicted | John forecasts that the response will eventually be effective and the Ebola outbreak will eventually be contained, at a very high cost. | Ebola: What IS Terrifying 00:03:16 |
| 2016-08-16 | came true | John says the Ebola outbreak that killed more than 11,000 people in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia has ended, though flare-ups remain possible. (doubtful: more than 11,000) | Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire 00:00:35 |
| 2018-01-23 | came true | John says the influx of aid in 2014 helped end the Ebola crisis but did very little to address the long-term crisis. | On Emergencies 00:00:45 |
What is said about it
9 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John says the effort will eventually work and the outbreak will be contained, but at a very high cost. — 00:03:16
- 2016-08-16 · Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire — John says strengthening community health centers in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia is vital to prevent future outbreaks. — 00:00:41
- 2016-08-16 · Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire — John says the world is very close to ending guinea worm disease: about 3.5 million cases in 1986, 22 in 2015 and 7 so far in 2016. — 00:00:47
- 2016-08-16 · Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire — John says malaria is still a massive global health problem, but attention and funding over 15 years have helped: malaria deaths have fallen by almost half since 2000. — 00:01:02
- 2016-08-16 · Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire — John says a large phase 3 study found a better pancreatic cancer treatment, and early-stage survival rates now approach 30%, up from under 10% about a decade ago. — 00:01:14
- 2016-08-16 · Some Good News: 16 Ways 2016 Is Not a Total Dumpster Fire — John says the overall US cancer survival rate was just under 50% in 1980 and is very close to 70% today. — 00:01:26
- 2018-01-23 · On Emergencies — John: When the outbreak began, Sierra Leone, a nation of over 7 million people, had fewer than 200 doctors. — 00:00:52
- 2018-01-23 · On Emergencies — John: Over 5% of Sierra Leone's doctors died of Ebola in 2014. — 00:00:58
- 2018-01-23 · On Emergencies — John: For context, John's home state of Indiana, with a slightly smaller population than Sierra Leone, has over 16,000 practicing physicians. — 00:01:01