John: US newly diagnosed COVID-19 cases on October 12, 2020 will be about 10 to 12% higher than a week earlier (2020)
prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2020-10-14) · owner: John
On 5 October 2020, eight days before the video went up, John predicted that newly diagnosed COVID cases in the United States would be about 10 to 12% higher week to week. Hank found they rose almost exactly 10%, so it came true.
About: COVID-19 pandemic, United States
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) (happened 2020-10-05) | predicted | John predicts that US newly diagnosed COVID cases the day before upload were higher than a week earlier, probably by around 10 to 12%. (hedged) | Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle 00:00:58 |
| 2020-10-14 | came true | Hank reports US new COVID cases rose week to week from 41,601 to 45,791, almost exactly 10%, so John's prediction was a win. | John Predicts the Future! 00:00:29 |
Dates are upload dates, which set the order. Where the speaker gives a different recording date in the video, it is added as "said on YYYY-MM-DD, implied" (derived from the date said in the video).
What is said about it
7 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, John predicts about 40 people will buy the Pizza John shirt on upload day, and tells viewers not to be afraid to beat that expectation. (playful, hedged) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, with some data but not enough, John guesses AFC Wimbledon might eke out a draw against Swindon Town based on current form. (speculative) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John: On 5 October 2020, from scheduled events, John suspects the upcoming presidential debate is being much discussed in the viewers' present. (hedged) — 00:01:27
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John notes the main news on the morning he films: the US President has been hospitalized for COVID, and many people close to him caught it after indoor maskless gatherings. — 00:01:56
- 2020-10-13 (said on 2020-10-05, implied) · Me from the Past: A Pizzamas Miracle — John suspects that news, very big to him, will not feel big to viewers eight days later because news cycles are moving much faster. (hedged) — 00:01:56
- 2020-10-14 · John Predicts the Future! — announcement: Hank says they blew John's shirt prediction out of the water, selling more than 95, an example of how imagining the future affects the future. — 00:00:58
- 2020-10-14 · John Predicts the Future! — Hank reports AFC Wimbledon had a single shot on target against Swindon Town, and it went in. — 00:00:58