John: while the West African Ebola outbreak worsens, outbreaks will occur elsewhere despite travel restrictions (2014)
prediction · status: came true · last event: came true (2015-09-08) · owner: John
In October 2014 John predicted that as long as the Ebola outbreak in West Africa kept worsening, outbreaks would occur elsewhere regardless of visa bans or fever screening of travellers. In September 2015 he pointed back to it: Ebola in Liberia had become Nigeria's, Germany's and America's problem.
About: Western African Ebola virus epidemic, West Africa
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-21 | predicted | John forecasts that while the West African outbreak worsens there will be other outbreaks around the world, whatever visa or fever-screening rules are adopted. | Ebola: What IS Terrifying 00:01:06 |
| 2015-09-08 | came true | John partly blames the mess on the delusion that regional crises lack global importance: Ebola in Liberia is Liberia's problem until it's Nigeria's, Germany's and America's; so with Syria's war. | Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World 00:07:36 |
What is said about it
8 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John: Microorganisms, John jokes, aren't well informed about the borders of nation states. (playful) — 00:01:21
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John: If we enjoy globalization's benefits (Argentinian beef in Big Macs, West African chocolate in Hershey's Kisses, Kenyan roses, Bangladeshi clothes), we also live in a global health community. — 00:01:26
- 2014-10-21 · Ebola: What IS Terrifying — John: We imagine diseases like cholera or malaria happen to poor faraway people, but Ebola shows the us/them dichotomy is false: better health care in Liberia is good for all humans. — 00:01:39
- 2015-09-08 · Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World — John: The Syrian civil war has led to the growth of ISIS, a terrorist organization that kills not only Syrians and Iraqis but Ethiopians, Americans, Brazilians, Koreans and Turks. — 00:08:02
- 2015-09-08 · Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World — John finds Europeans at train stations and football games promising refugees are welcome moving and hopes governments follow, but keeping the promise is the hard, long-term, expensive, complex part. (hedged) — 00:08:13
- 2015-09-08 · Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World — John: As the UNHCR has said, John notes, this massive flow of people will not stop until the root causes of their plight are addressed. — 00:08:31
- 2015-09-08 · Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World — John says the only ultimate solution was outlined by a 13-year-old Syrian refugee, shown pleading for help. — 00:08:38
- 2015-09-08 · Understanding the Refugee Crisis in Europe, Syria, and around the World — 13-year-old Syrian refugee (clip) (quoted): In a clip, the 13-year-old Syrian refugee pleads for help for Syrians now: just stop the war, and they won't want to go to Europe. — 00:08:44