This Graph Changed My Life
2025-07-04 · letter vlog · Hank · 5:40 · watch on YouTube
Topic: US politics & society (also: Science & nature) · mode: Personal essay · tags: self promotion
Using Fox News comments calling climate change a hoax and a graph showing that under 10% of Americans are committed climate skeptics, Hank argues that the information ecosystem shows us the most extreme members of a group, a 'cable news fallacy' that makes us fight the wrong fight in despair.
What is said
The parts of the video and what is said in each (★ — how much it matters to the video).
00:00:00 — Greeting; a Fox News article on an air-to-fuel device and the climate-denying comments under it
- ★★ Hank says a FoxNews.com headline reported a man who made a modular device turning electricity, water and carbon dioxide into gasoline or a fuel gasoline engines can burn. — 00:00:00
- ★ Hank reads the device as good news: not the first air-to-fuel demonstration and less efficient than a large plant, but maybe useful off-grid. (hedged) — 00:00:00
00:00:59 — Thermodynamics aside; we imagine groups as monolithic, and the information ecosystem shows us only the worst versions of opposing views
- ★★ Hank says the article's comments variously claimed that fossil fuels are not bad for the Earth, that climate change is fake, and that the Earth manufactures fossil fuels. — 00:00:59 · climate change
- ★ Answering a commenter's guess that the device uses more energy than it makes, Hank says whoever breaks conservation of energy will be a bigger story than a jar of gasoline. (playful) — 00:00:59
- ★ Hank finds it strange how many commenters treat the first law of thermodynamics as something we just have not overcome yet. — 00:00:59
- ★★★ Hank says that seeing such comments, most people think all Fox News viewers, all Republicans and half of Americans think this way: imagining a group, we assume all its members believe the same things. — 00:01:28 · Republican Party, United States
- ★★★ Hank says reality breaks at every step of that chain, especially the last: the ideas of a group that reach you are not representative of that group. — 00:01:28
- ★★★ Hank says an opposing view reaches you mainly because it is crazy: in-groups expose you to easily refuted out-group ideas, so you mostly see the worst versions of your opposition's ideas. — 00:01:57 · sensationalism
00:02:27 — The graph: committed US climate skeptics below 10%, four-fifths say global warming is happening
- ★★ Hank says that around five years ago he saw a graph that changed his life, and he shows it hoping it changes viewers' lives too. — 00:02:27
- ★★★ Hank says that for nearly two decades the share of Americans who are committed climate skeptics has been consistently below 10%. — 00:02:27 · United States
- ★★★ Hank says that asked whether global warming is happening, roughly four-fifths of Americans say yes. — 00:02:56 · United States, climate change
- ★★ Hank says that although many Americans accept global warming, we are not doing a great job of adapting to that reality. — 00:02:56 · climate change
00:03:20 — Why it changed him: wrong fight and despair, the cable news fallacy, and who 'those people' really are
- ★★ The graph changed Hank because it clashed with his perception: before, he would have said about half of Americans thought climate change a scam or hoax. — 00:03:20 · United States, climate change
- ★★ Hank says the real situation is complex: many people are unsure and even more have other concerns, so they are not very focused on climate change. — 00:03:20 · climate change
- ★★★ Hank says it is easy to share the Fox News comments without context as proof of how crazy 'these people' are, and many would take 'these people' to mean half the country. — 00:03:20
- ★★★ Hank says believing this means fighting the wrong fight: not trying to convince people who are mostly convinced, but focused on other problems like the price of eggs. — 00:04:03 · climate change
- ★★ Hank says that on top of fighting the wrong fight, you fight it with the weight of despair around your neck. — 00:04:03
- ★★ Hank says there is no use being weighed down by a world that isn't actually this one; this one is hard enough. — 00:04:32
-
★★★ Hank names the problem the cable news fallacy: the mistaken belief that a group's most vocal or visible members represent the whole group. — 00:04:32 · cable news fallacy
“the mistaken belief that the most vocal or visible members of a group represent that group as a whole”
-
★★ Hank says he knows this is a problem because whenever he talks about something with nuance, people tell him there's no winning those people over. — 00:04:32
- ★★★ Hank says 'those people' are not simple, unified or monolithic: four-fifths of them think climate change is real and very few are committed climate skeptics. — 00:04:32 · climate change
- ★★ Hank says that thinking no one can be won over ignores the huge group who think it is probably a problem but not the one to address now, and asks whether our behaviour brings them in or alienates them. — 00:05:02
- ★★★ Hank says the cable news ecosystem and the algorithmic news ecosystem both benefit when we believe this fallacy, and nobody else does. — 00:05:02 · recommender system, cable news fallacy
00:05:31 — Thanks John for his video; sign-off
In the description and comments
- ★★ The description says only small and medium mystery socks are probably left in the sale, still $40 instead of $90 with the code 'lookatthisgraph'. (hedged) — video description · Good Store
Threads in this video
- restate · Can we imagine other people complexly, and what stops us? — Hank says that seeing such comments, most people think all Fox News viewers, all Republicans and half of Americans think this way: imagining a group, we assume all its members believe the same things. (00:01:28)
- restate · Is there really an 'us' and a 'them', or are distant and different people just facets of us? — Hank says 'those people' are not simple, unified or monolithic: four-fifths of them think climate change is real and very few are committed climate skeptics. (00:04:32)
- restate · Is it reasonable to be hopeful about the future? — Hank says there is no use being weighed down by a world that isn't actually this one; this one is hard enough. (00:04:32)
- restate · Can news media be trusted to inform us accurately? — Hank says the cable news ecosystem and the algorithmic news ecosystem both benefit when we believe this fallacy, and nobody else does. (00:05:02)
- reminder · Hank asks viewers to buy discounted mystery socks at good.store with the code LOOKATTHISGRAPH (2025) — The description says only small and medium mystery socks are probably left in the sale, still $40 instead of $90 with the code 'lookatthisgraph'. (video description)
- restate · Is political polarization caused by structures (districts, rules, incentives) rather than by people? — Hank says an opposing view reaches you mainly because it is crazy: in-groups expose you to easily refuted out-group ideas, so you mostly see the worst versions of your opposition's ideas. (00:01:57)
Mentioned
Central: cable news fallacy · climate change · the climate-opinion graph
Also: Organizations: Fox News · Republican Party
Concepts: Cable news · carbon dioxide · climate change denial · despair · fossil fuel · laws of thermodynamics · recommender system · sensationalism · stereotype · synthetic fuel
Places: United States
Only in the description or credits: Good Store
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