John: interest on the US federal debt will go up again as spending rises and revenue falls (2025)
prediction · status: unresolved · last event: predicted (2025-04-08) · owner: John
In April 2025, walking through US federal spending, John predicted that interest on the debt, then 13% of spending, would go up again as the government spent more and took in less.
Told alongside: John: the overall US federal budget is unlikely to be cut while attention stays on tiny spending categories (2025)
About: government debt, Unemployment benefits, United States Agency for International Development, Government spending
| date | event | what | video |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-08 | predicted | John says 13% goes to interest on the debt (set to rise again), making 75% with the big four; veterans' benefits are 6%, unemployment, federal retirement and nutrition about 11%, and USAID sits in 3% other. | DOGE Is Not Cutting Government Spending 00:01:56 |
What is said about it
4 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).
- 2025-04-08 · DOGE Is Not Cutting Government Spending — John says all federal employees combined account for only about 5% of US federal government spending. — 00:00:58
- 2025-04-08 · DOGE Is Not Cutting Government Spending — John says cuts to foreign aid do not meaningfully affect overall federal spending, but being politically divisive they draw attention that makes them look like significant cuts. — 00:01:27
- 2025-04-08 · DOGE Is Not Cutting Government Spending — John says the US spends about 21% of federal money on Social Security, 15% on Medicare, 13% on national defense and 13% on Medicaid. — 00:01:27
- 2025-04-08 · DOGE Is Not Cutting Government Spending — John says even very minor spending increases for big-ticket items like defense mean the US is spending more in 2025 than in 2024. — 00:01:56